Home prices are still on fire, Case-Shiller data show

Published: Mar 27, 2018 9:00 a.m. ET

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After a lull, San Francisco is back to being one of the top three hottest markets

Bloomberg News/Landov
A home for sale in Seattle, Wash., one of the nation’s hottest housing markets.

The numbers: The S&P/Case-Shiller national index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.5% in the three-month period ending in January, and was up 6.2% compared to a year before. The 20-city index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.8% for the month, and 6.4% for the year.

What happened: Prices are still on fire. And the West is still the best: Seattle, Las Vegas and San Francisco all notched double-digit yearly price gains. Only one city, Washington, D.C., had a negative monthly reading.

As David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, noted in a release, the price gains are all about demand and lack of supply.

“The current months-supply — how many months at the current sales rate would be needed to absorb homes currently for sale — is 3.4; the average since 2000 is 6.0 months, and the high in July 2010 was 11.9,” Blitzer wrote. “Currently, the homeowner vacancy rate is 1.6% compared to an average of 2.1% since 2000; it peaked in 2010 at 2.7%. Despite limited supplies, rising prices and higher mortgage rates, affordability is not a concern.”

Relatively affordable housing is cold comfort to many would-be home buyers who simply can’t find anything to buy.

Read: Most house hunters have been searching for 3 months or more

Big picture: Economists had forecast a 0.7% monthly increase, and a 6.2% 12-month increase, for the 20-city index. As MarketWatch has reported, most housing analysts have argued that the ongoing price gains in housing can’t last — and yet they have so far.

Metro Monthly change 12-month change
Atlanta 0.7% 6.5%
Boston 0.2% 5.3%
Charlotte 0.4% 6.0%
Chicago 0.0% 2.4%
Cleveland 0.0% 3.5%
Dallas 0.2% 6.9%
Denver 0.7% 7.6%
Detroit 0.1% 7.6%
Las Vegas 0.6% 11.1%
Los Angeles 0.6% 7.6%
Miami 0.6% 4.0%
Minneapolis 0.1% 5.9%
New York 0.0% 5.2%
Phoenix 0.3% 5.9%
Portland 0.4% 7.1%
San Diego 0.8% 7.4%
San Francisco 0.4% 10.2%
Seattle 0.7% 12.9%
Tampa 0.4% 6.7%
Washington -0.4% 2.4%

Read: Mortgage rates edge up even as trade war worries loom ahead

Andrea Riquier reports on housing and banking from MarketWatch's New York newsroom. Follow her on Twitter @ARiquier.

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