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- <br/> <span class="pb-caption">Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reacts as he visits the Western Wall in Jerusalem on March 18 following his party's victory in Israel's general election. (Thomas Coex/AFP/Getty Images)</span>
- </div>
- <div class="pb-sig-line hasnt-headshot has-0-headshots hasnt-bio is-not-column"> <span class="pb-byline">By <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/people/steven-mufson">Steven Mufson</a></span>
- <span
- class="pb-timestamp">March 18 at 12:22 PM</span> <span class="pb-tool email"><a href="mailto:[email protected]?subject=Reader feedback for 'Where do strained U.S.-Israeli relations go after Netanyahu’s victory?'"><span class="fa fa-envelope"></span>
- </a>
- </span> <span class="tweet-authors"><span class="pb-twitter-follow unprocessed"><a href="https://twitter.com/@StevenMufson" class="twitter-follow-button" data-show-count="false" data-lang="en">Follow @StevenMufson</a></span> </span>
- </div>
- <article>
- <p>President Obama told the U.N. General Assembly 18 months ago that he would
- seek “real breakthroughs on these two issues — Iran’s nuclear program and
- ­Israeli-Palestinian peace.”</p>
- <p>But <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/netanyahu-sweeps-to-victory-in-israeli-election/2015/03/18/af4e50ca-ccf2-11e4-8730-4f473416e759_story.html"
- title="www.washingtonpost.com">Benjamin Netanyahu’s triumph</a> in Tuesday’s
- parliamentary elections keeps in place an Israeli prime minister who has
- declared his intention to resist Obama on both of these fronts, guaranteeing
- two more years of difficult diplomacy between leaders who barely conceal
- their personal distaste for each other.</p>
- <p>The Israeli election results also suggest that most voters there support
- Netanyahu’s tough stance on U.S.-led negotiations to limit Iran’s nuclear
- program and his vow on Monday that there would be <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/on-final-day-of-campaign-netanyahu-says-no-palestinian-state-if-he-wins/2015/03/16/4f4468e8-cbdc-11e4-8730-4f473416e759_story.html"
- title="www.washingtonpost.com">no independent Palestinian state</a> as long
- as he is prime minister.</p>
- <p>“On the way to his election victory, Netanyahu broke a lot of crockery
- in the relationship,” said Martin Indyk, executive vice president of the
- Brookings Institution and a former U.S. ambassador to Israel. “It can’t
- be repaired unless both sides have an interest and desire to do so.”</p>
- <p>Aside from Russian President Vladi­mir Putin, few foreign leaders so brazenly
- stand up to Obama and even fewer among longtime allies.</p>
- <div class="inline-content inline-video">
- <div class="posttv-video-embed" data-duration="76000" data-headline="Israel's Netanyahu works on forming coalition"
- data-is-truth-teller="0" data-max-height="-1" data-max-width="-1" data-object-id="5509aa07e4b0210747c74e5c"
- data-show-endscreen="1" data-show-promo="http://img.washingtonpost.com/rf/image_1024w/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/03/18/Production/Daily/A-Section/Images/2015-03-18T140126Z_01_JER07_RTRIDSP_3_ISRAEL-ELECTION.jpg"
- data-uuid="a41ef658-cd8a-11e4-8730-4f473416e759" data-youtube-id="">
- <script src="http://www.washingtonpost.com/posttv/static/js/posttv/posttv-video-embed.v3.js"
- type="text/javascript"></script>
- </div>
- <div class="inline-video-caption"> <span class="pb-caption">Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pledged to form a new governing coalition quickly after an upset election victory that was built on a shift to the right. (Reuters)</span>
- </div>
- </div>
- <p>In the past, Israeli leaders who risked damaging the country’s most important
- relationship, that with Washington, tended to pay a price. In 1991, when
- Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir opposed the Madrid peace talks, President
- George H.W. Bush held back loan guarantees to help absorb immigrants from
- the former Soviet Union. Shamir gave in, but his government soon collapsed.</p>
- <p>But this time, Netanyahu was not hurt by his personal and substantive
- conflicts with the U.S. president.</p>
- <p>“While the United States is loved and beloved in Israel, President Obama
- is not,” said Robert M. Danin, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign
- Relations. “So the perceived enmity didn’t hurt the way it did with Shamir
- when he ran afoul of Bush in ’91.”</p>
- <p>Where do U.S.-Israeli relations go from here?</p>
- <p>In the immediate aftermath of Tuesday’s elections, tensions between the
- two sides continued to run hot. The Obama administration’s first comments
- on the Israeli election came with a tough warning about some of the pre-election
- rhetoric from Netanyahu’s Likud party, which tried to rally right-wing
- support by saying that Arab Israeli voters were “coming out in droves.”</p>
- <p>“The United States and this administration is deeply concerned about rhetoric
- that seeks to marginalize Arab Israeli citizens,” White House press secretary
- Josh Earnest told reporters aboard Air Force One. “It undermines the values
- and democratic ideals that have been important to our democracy and an
- important part of what binds the United States and Israel together.”</p>
- <p>Earnest added that Netan­yahu’s election-eve disavowal of a two-state
- solution for Israelis and Palestinians would force the administration to
- reconsider its approach to peace in the region.</p>
- <div></div>
- <p>Over the longer term, a number of analysts say that Obama and Netan­yahu
- will seek to play down the friction between them and point to areas of
- continuing cooperation on military and economic issues.</p>
- <p>“Both sides are going to want to turn down the rhetoric,” Danin said.
- “But it is also a structural problem. They have six years of accumulated
- history. That’s going to put limits on how far they can go together.”</p>
- <p>The first substantive test could come as early as this month, when the
- United States hopes that it can finish hammering out the framework of an
- agreement with Iran.</p>
- <p>Netanyahu strongly warned against making a “bad deal” during his March
- 3 address to a joint meeting of Congress, an appearance arranged by Republican
- congressional leaders and criticized by the Obama administration for making
- U.S.-Israeli relations partisan on both sides so close to the Israeli election.</p>
- <p>If a deal is reached and does not pass muster with Netanyahu, he is likely
- to work with congressional Republicans to try to scuttle the accord.</p>
- <p>“The Republicans have said they will do what they can to block a deal,
- and the prime minister has already made clear that he will work with the
- Republicans against the president,” Indyk said. “That’s where a clash could
- come, and it’s coming very quickly.”</p>
- <p>The second test — talks with Palestinians — could be even more difficult.
- In his September 2013 address to the United Nations, Obama hailed signs
- of hope.</p>
- <p>“Already, Israeli and Palestinian leaders have demonstrated a willingness
- to take significant political risks,” Obama said in his speech. Palestinian
- Authority President Mahmoud Abbas “has put aside efforts to shortcut the
- pursuit of peace and come to the negotiating table. Prime Minister Netanyahu
- has released Palestinian prisoners and reaffirmed his commitment to a Palestinian
- state.”</p>
- <p>Today, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2015/03/18/what-netanyahus-election-victory-means-for-the-palestinians/"
- title="www.washingtonpost.com">the signals could not differ more</a>. The
- Palestinian Authority has said that after it joins the International Criminal
- Court at The Hague on April 1, it will press war crimes charges against
- Israel for the bloody Gaza conflict during the summer. Israel, which controls
- tax receipts, has pledged to punish the Palestinian Authority by freezing
- its tax revenue.</p>
- <p>The United States, which gives hundreds of millions of dollars of economic
- aid to the Palestinian Authority, would be caught in the middle. It has
- been trying to persuade both sides to stand down, but Netanyahu’s declaration
- that there would be no Palestinian state on his watch makes that more difficult.</p>
- <p>“Now it’s hard to see what could persuade the Palestinians” to hold up
- on their ICC plans, Indyk said. “That has nothing to do with negotiations,
- but if both sides can’t be persuaded to back down, then they will be on
- a trajectory that could lead to the collapse of the Palestinian Authority
- because it can’t pay wages anymore.</p>
- <p>“That could be an issue forced onto the agenda about the same time as
- a potential nuclear deal.”</p>
- <div class="extra">
- <p></p>
- </div>
- </article>
- <div class="clear"></div>
- <div class="post-body-sig-line"><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/people/steven-mufson"><img class="post-body-headshot-left" src="http://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/files/2014/07/mufson_steve.jpg&amp;h=180&amp;w=180"/></a>
- <div
- class="post-body-bio has-photo">Steven Mufson covers the White House. Since joining The Post, he has covered
- economics, China, foreign policy and energy.</div>
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